Impact of Covid-19 on the national and international migration

Sanjana N (IBM 2017)

Barely into the dawn of a new decade, the entire world seems to be on its knees. The rapid outbreak of the SARS-CoV-19 virus responsible for the lethal COVID-19 disease has brought the economies of the world to a standstill. The streets of towns, villages and usually bustling metropolises have been rendered empty and lockdowns have been placed, preventing traveling of any kind. Among the many sectors of the economy affected, only few come close to the losses incurred by the transport and tourism sectors. The effect of the SARS-CoV-19 outbreak on national and international migration is adverse.
Hundreds of countries have now enforced travel restrictions and border shutdowns as a result of the coronavirus, thereby having an unparalleled effect on mobility. As of March 23, at least 174 countries, territories, or areas implemented new or modified existing restrictions on travel related to COVID-19, according to the United Nations Migration Agency[1]. Prohibitions will probably continue for months, at least until the curve is flattened.
The crisis also presents a grave danger to the many people stranded between home and their final destination, many of them living in crowded refugee camps where the word 'social distancing' holds no meaning. Refugee camps are some of the world's most densely populated areas from where people may not be able to leave, choose where to go or distance themselves socially. For example, population density in the refugee camps in Cox's Bazaar, Bangladesh, is about 5 to 10 square meters per person[2].
There is growing evidence that constraints on safe, organized and routine migration are driving the poor — up to 100 million worldwide[3] — into murky irregular pathways. COVID-19 means that there are less standard means of migration than was the case a few months earlier. In such a situation, those who feel obligated to travel will gradually employ smugglers, traffickers and other illegal groups to do so. Migration is expected to increase in and within developing countries with weaker health systems and rule of law. The irregular migrants will travel with other citizens in close quarters. They can cross international borders without health checks or required documentation.
According to one estimate, migrants contribute nearly 10% of global GDP[4]. Now, every migrant worker all over the world is potentially impacted by a dramatic tightening of borders. Due to the current global economic downturn, remittance flows to low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are estimated to decline from $554 billion in 2019 by around 20 per cent to $445 billion[5]. Around the world, more so in developing and underdeveloped countries, migrant remittances provide poor households with a much needed financial support and a decrease in remittance flows will increase poverty and reduce access of households to much-needed health services.
While countries respond to the COVID-19 crisis, there is strong argument in favour of supporting the workforce of migrants, which is crucial to many economies. Governments must consider multiple levels interventions. The long term policies should not only encourage online remittance systems but also should extend support to reduce the costs of remittances, which remain too high for some of the poorest regions.



[1] DTM (COVID-19): Global mobility restriction overview - 19 March, 2020 - World. (2020, March 19). Retrieved April 29, 2020, from https://reliefweb.int/report/world/dtm-covid-19-global-mobility-restriction-overview-19-march-2020

[2] Bangladesh: Cox's Bazar: Rohingya Population density by camp in Ukhia as of 30 April 2019 - Bangladesh. (2019, May 22). Retrieved April 29, 2020, from https://reliefweb.int/map/bangladesh/bangladesh-coxs-bazar-rohingya-population-density-camp-ukhia-30-april-2019

[3] Yayboke, E. (2020, April 20). Out of the Shadows: Shining a Light on Irregular Migration. Retrieved April 29, 2020, from https://www.csis.org/analysis/out-shadows-shining-light-irregular-migration

[4] Woetzel, J., Madgavkar, A., Manyika, J., & Elmasry, T. (2016, November). Global migration's impact and opportunity. Retrieved from https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/employment-and-growth/global-migrations-impact-and-opportunity
[5] Ratha, D. (2020, April 23). COVID-19 through a migration lens: policy responses should be inclusive of migrants. Retrieved April 28, 2020, from https://blogs.worldbank.org/peoplemove/covid-19-through-migration-lens-policy-responses-should-be-inclusive-migrants

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